CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x481e307b99cff222563f714b681f18ff802efdcabe259487a6004539249a2f17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof MOUZ NXT, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb726…0664backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 6,563$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.34 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ECSTATIC | 35c | 3,399$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.83 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed ECSTATIC | 30c | 1,811$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.82 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…591bbacked ECSTATIC | 58c | 518.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC | 42c | 503.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 502$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.16 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ECSTATIC | 57c | 450$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed ECSTATIC | 38c | 399$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.79 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed ECSTATIC | 28c | 357.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed ECSTATIC | 39c | 255.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed MOUZ NXT | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 164$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ NXT | 59c | 159.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90de…e25ebacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 147.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 107.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked ECSTATIC | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 89.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed MOUZ NXT | 71c | 76.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -10.0wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 63.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ECSTATIC | 33c | 62.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 58.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked MOUZ NXT | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ECSTATIC | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…da56backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 46.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 43.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed ECSTATIC | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 PlayoffsECSTATIC won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 WinnerECSTATIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.