Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7150b58c52416710cbbf320025b085cc67b70835f8b6b58eb3339b92f4cde7

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 28, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $391,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $209,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,740 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7483…8ad6backed Yes	0c	47,000$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	20,261$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.61	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	16,052$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.33	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	11c	12,935$1,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,415.13	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8d…13b7backed Yes	17c	11,249$1,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	10c	11,213$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.4	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	3c	4,519$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.61	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	4,426$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.65	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a44…021cbacked Yes	19c	4,386$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.82	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	5c	3,654$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.34	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	3,606$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.03	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	4c	3,582$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.82	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	2c	2,951$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,665$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.63	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	4c	2,602$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.05	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	70c	2,595$1,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.64	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	2,422$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.51	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	2,402$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.76	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	11c	2,176$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.14	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	2c	2,102$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	2,085$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.15	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50df…1f07backed Yes	3c	2,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…7aa9backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	2,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f3…776cbacked Yes	2c	1,960$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5844…aa7ebacked Yes	3c	1,915$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.88	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	28c	1,900$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.04	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked Yes	2c	1,726$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.59	186	31.7%59 W · 127 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c54…2d86backed Yes	9c	1,663$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.22	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+158.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	1,549$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.57	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	80c	1,397$1,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.29	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74c8…e1aabacked Yes	13c	1,326$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	10c	1,300$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	14c	1,298$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.61	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	1,222$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…190cbacked Yes	14c	1,200$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.39	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	1c	1,199$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff4…eb8ebacked Yes	26c	1,086$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.07	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	1,062$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.88	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes	24c	1,037$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa9…5797backed Yes	1c	1,025$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+61.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	2c	1,016$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.33	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe66e…f940backed Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	24cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	1c	955.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	17c	950$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.84	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	17c	947.96$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.91	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	13c	904.38$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.35	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8b99backed Yes	7c	856.71$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	2c	846.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes	14c	796.48$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.61	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	10c	746.32$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.92	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes	39c	724$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.55	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd4…0f95backed Yes	34c	700$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…3f82backed Yes	21c	674.01$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafbb…7525backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac45…ea33backed Yes	23c	665.14$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.07	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	25c	634.46$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5242…d953backed Yes	8c	628.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.03	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	+138.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…dd38backed Yes	8c	616.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.03	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	+100.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	11c	608.42$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf661…ee46backed Yes	4c	602.57$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.73	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa769…8a2abacked Yes	11c	590.91$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4c…4dafbacked Yes	44c	588.99$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.16	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x496e…5690backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-41%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	3c	554.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Yes	33c	525.45$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.33	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+81%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	10c	524.55$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.17	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675a…0551backed Yes	19c	512.18$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3116…8bbabacked Yes	9c	508.7$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c67…8860backed Yes	21c	492.96$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	13c	486.98$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.6	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x932f…aeb6backed Yes	21c	478.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c0…f0d2backed Yes	6c	474.65$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.76	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes	23c	435.67$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.89	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8470…dc9fbacked Yes	33c	426.33$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	23c	418.99$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.77	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes	22c	412.93$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.47	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef28…2d50backed Yes	4c	400$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.46	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	16c	399.99$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5609…33f4backed Yes	30c	365$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.95	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	3c	350$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadec…467dbacked Yes	34c	339.99$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.96	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	18c	338.17$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9519…9739backed Yes	20c	316.69$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.39	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	19c	314.39$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa40a…0615backed Yes	19c	308.85$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.12	50	18%9 W · 41 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes	19c	301.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaec0…b953backed Yes	6c	300$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.26per pick	16cpaid	+145.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0ce…5839backed Yes	16c	295.25$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.23	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…9678backed Yes	8c	270.83$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	16cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53c6…b9a7backed Yes	27c	261.06$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.39	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe419…5839backed Yes	17c	251.66$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.37	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	25%14 W · 42 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2599…4b18backed Yes	8c	239.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63ea…2072backed Yes	18c	236$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.51	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-46%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	17c	232.72$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ec…7158backed Yes	21c	231.55$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…9917backed Yes	18c	226$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.48	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event