Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x831a3180c69a5d165f8ad7efbae4017090c24ec79067f132bee3a89e50b68616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 75c | 24,371$18,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,023.16 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 2c | 21,309$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.54 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Yes | 76c | 7,245$5,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.6 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 43c | 7,000$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.07 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 8c | 5,855$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,408.26 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,925$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.51 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 55c | 3,881$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.52 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 3,735$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.7 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 18c | 3,678$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.86 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a44…021cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,674$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.31 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 14c | 3,582$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.89 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 55c | 3,468$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.96 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…e1aabacked Yes | 18c | 3,133$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 14c | 3,123$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.61 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 15c | 3,104$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.28 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…7d6abacked Yes | 26c | 3,058$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.27 | 524 | 9.9%52 W · 472 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 54c | 3,039$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.21 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 56c | 2,729$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.25 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…0615backed Yes | 68c | 2,344$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.3 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes | 14c | 2,033$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.38 | 164 | 17.1%28 W · 136 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,013$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed No | 15c | 1,994$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.17 | 221 | 19.9%44 W · 177 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 78c | 1,860$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.66 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 31c | 1,586$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.32 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…4efcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,370$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 77c | 1,342$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.11 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Yes | 73c | 1,297$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.8 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 42c | 1,275$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.77 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…f940backed No | 15c | 1,217$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,198$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.26 | 171 | 5.3%9 W · 162 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…4dafbacked No | 36c | 1,140$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2c…8c84backed Yes | 6c | 1,079$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.63 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd081…0cfabacked Yes | 15c | 1,065$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 281 | 13.5%38 W · 243 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 6c | 1,053$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.58 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,012$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.85 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,003$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.44 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…aa7ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4b…3034backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f72…439dbacked No | 12c | 999.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Yes | 24c | 985.91$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 26c | 962.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e55…e157backed Yes | 28c | 948.56$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.55 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes | 47c | 920.01$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.72 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 25c | 902.22$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.72 | 296 | 10.5%31 W · 265 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…65e1backed Yes | 7c | 898$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…2072backed Yes | 46c | 861.26$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.38 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…fe63backed Yes | 67c | 852.55$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.74 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…7b12backed Yes | 20c | 841.34$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.25 | 207 | 17.4%36 W · 171 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…42c3backed Yes | 6c | 834.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 821.14$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.77 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70aa…8945backed No | 10c | 814.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…776cbacked Yes | 12c | 790.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.9 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Yes | 20c | 742.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +232.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes | 54c | 729.82$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.38 | 66 | 10.6%7 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fd…9028backed Yes | 8c | 700.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.45 | 121 | 12.4%15 W · 106 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 66c | 686.82$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.14 | 886 | 10.3%91 W · 795 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes | 18c | 683.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.53 | 486 | 9.7%47 W · 439 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…eb8ebacked Yes | 44c | 680.3$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbb…7525backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…61d7backed Yes | 21c | 662.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…ea33backed Yes | 25c | 659.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed Yes | 23c | 639.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 40c | 627.55$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Yes | 10c | 616$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +217.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 27c | 609.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.53 | 163 | 19%31 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…5998backed No | 70c | 599.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 155 | 20.6%32 W · 123 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 13c | 599.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.9 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…305fbacked Yes | 11c | 557.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.9 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 16c | 550.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.21 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked Yes | 11c | 539.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +135%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…d220backed Yes | 20c | 536.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…1f97backed Yes | 39c | 500$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes | 12c | 499.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.36 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…384fbacked Yes | 11c | 491.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.21 | 421 | 10%42 W · 379 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…6c34backed Yes | 22c | 452.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…efb4backed Yes | 5c | 444.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.95 | 387 | 6.5%25 W · 362 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb4…8d80backed Yes | 23c | 431.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…6d71backed Yes | 12c | 423.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.36 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…f57ebacked Yes | 24c | 417.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…aeb6backed Yes | 24c | 409.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…0551backed Yes | 17c | 402.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…0f95backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ce…5839backed Yes | 11c | 395.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.06 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0017…6e7bbacked Yes | 20c | 394.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 17c | 382.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.1 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…f152backed Yes | 25c | 375$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes | 18c | 366.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.98 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3d…d571backed Yes | 28c | 354.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.29 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked No | 13c | 352.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651f…8e87backed Yes | 16c | 349.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 11c | 339.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.69 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 26c | 325.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…e932backed Yes | 7c | 307.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.29 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 15c | 305.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.46 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed Yes | 48c | 300$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 23c | 291.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.95 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce8…b298backed Yes | 75c | 278.35$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4312…a388backed Yes | 13c | 274.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.44 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.