Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x625eb8c95010638c62f9e4294c7ae1382e8a4e14b67547251cdf8747fa464c18

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 28, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $427,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $182,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,303 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	58,007$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.69	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	36,326$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.95	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50df…1f07backed Yes	1c	26,876$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.76	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	3c	24,405$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.95	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	2c	14,061$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.24	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc0…cd0abacked Yes	1c	9,908$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	9,374$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.35	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	7,031$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe9…c7dfbacked Yes	1c	6,170$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	6,062$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.12	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	7c	6,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	1c	5,589$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.82	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	5,165$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.98	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	1c	5,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed Yes	1c	4,985$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.32	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe66e…f940backed Yes	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	24cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc36c…e1adbacked Yes	3c	3,318$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68f3…776cbacked Yes	1c	3,057$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.91	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5844…aa7ebacked Yes	1c	3,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	1c	2,820$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.74	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	2,311$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	2,165$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.09	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,133$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.75	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8733…a6f0backed Yes	2c	2,019$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	7c	1,750$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	1,571$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c8…e1aabacked Yes	14c	1,407$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a44…021cbacked Yes	15c	1,364$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…190cbacked Yes	12c	1,200$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	8c	1,176$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	1c	1,096$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	14c	1,076$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	6c	1,070$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.42	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…7c00backed Yes	12c	812.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	5c	807.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	7c	800$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafbb…7525backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5609…33f4backed Yes	5c	765$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.05	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d7…d1f4backed Yes	4c	750$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7622…e618backed Yes	13c	700$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.6	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	11c	674.62$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.5	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes	6c	670$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac45…ea33backed Yes	14c	646.87$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819f…61edbacked Yes	16c	607.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x675a…0551backed Yes	13c	525.13$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ec…7158backed Yes	10c	510.2$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f0b…64dabacked Yes	2c	500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	82	11%9 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe419…5839backed Yes	9c	456.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.33	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9277…4e7dbacked Yes	11c	447.98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	12c	402.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.94	75	17.3%13 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x932f…aeb6backed Yes	13c	389.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12cc…275dbacked Yes	7c	389.03$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	128	18.8%24 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x824c…6874backed Yes	3c	388.68$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce98…51eabacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d8…1cdfbacked Yes	13c	371.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes	13c	349.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.96	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea9…a10bbacked Yes	12c	289.14$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.19	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked Yes	5c	278.03$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	186	31.7%59 W · 127 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc950…ad4ebacked Yes	15c	266.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8450…0b7bbacked Yes	9c	264.13$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.86	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	5c	253.65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.19	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Yes	11c	250$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	16	25%4 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7de6…2471backed Yes	13c	246.15$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3116…8bbabacked Yes	8c	235.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes	8c	235.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	11c	225$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	13c	224.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf532…70eabacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaec0…b953backed Yes	6c	218.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.26per pick	16cpaid	+145.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes	14c	201.01$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.13	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75a3…5fd5backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6471…457abacked Yes	6c	200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes	14c	185.71$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd440…8e73backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc238…d690backed Yes	17c	175.49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853f…9765backed Yes	12c	170.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x675c…9678backed Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	16cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2496…07a0backed Yes	14c	164.29$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…8860backed Yes	13c	154.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3d…d571backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	7c	150$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…9917backed Yes	14c	150$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd570…b90abacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+82.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb128…7bb0backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4c…1254backed Yes	17c	133.37$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcd…d3b4backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc793…9fccbacked Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x676e…eb0cbacked Yes	18c	113.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdb2…deddbacked Yes	17c	110$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…08aabacked Yes	19c	108.08$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d4…c8f5backed Yes	19c	106.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef28…2d50backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ea…2072backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-46%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event