Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e4a2e3891c4a3a104f1952f2e55f6934e43a3cb453fb3c8f35b6451a5925126

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 28, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $464,408
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $350,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,408 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	0c	123,885$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.83	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	42,789$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.5	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	10c	10,582$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,068.49	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27da…d24abacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	2c	7,652$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.43	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a44…021cbacked Yes	32c	3,766$1,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.74	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	3,577$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.28	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes	11c	3,214$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.7	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes	5c	3,144$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9bd…0568backed Yes	1c	2,878$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	2,664$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.57	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf1…d05dbacked Yes	2c	2,645$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.52	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c8…e1aabacked Yes	11c	2,492$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc950…ad4ebacked Yes	2c	2,329$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	41c	2,252$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.9	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes	11c	2,202$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.06	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	7c	2,100$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.47	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be7…4efcbacked Yes	7c	2,023$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	9c	2,000$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.45	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	66c	1,817$1,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.11	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	17c	1,794$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.63	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80fc…42c3backed No	78c	1,720$1,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.74	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee4…fa88backed No	72c	1,572$1,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.81	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Yes	11c	1,485$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.19	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2c…8c84backed Yes	44c	1,450$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.87	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	68c	1,301$887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x824c…6874backed Yes	11c	1,297$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.6	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c67…8860backed Yes	30c	1,231$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	5c	1,200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed No	51c	1,136$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.49	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a1…0b00backed Yes	33c	1,097$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…467dbacked Yes	1c	1,080$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes	10c	1,076$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.16	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	11c	1,065$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.94	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes	30c	1,021$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	11c	1,002$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.76	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafbb…7525backed Yes	10c	998.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe86c…10f3backed Yes	12c	986.23$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.5	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	970.83$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.59	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…7c00backed Yes	7c	928.92$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.25	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	12c	848.44$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.64	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7e…79e5backed Yes	12c	763.66$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.97	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	11c	752.94$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.3	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	76c	729.75$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.22	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	11c	714.67$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.99	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes	9c	698$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.21	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd1…c994backed Yes	45c	689.53$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.75	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes	26c	637.63$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.61	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c2…3193backed Yes	32c	622.83$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	30cpaid	-74%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	13c	609.78$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.35	163	19%31 W · 132 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed No	70c	599.99$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…37adbacked Yes	45c	583.61$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe4…f2a2backed Yes	17c	550.18$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ea…2072backed Yes	35c	538.7$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.35	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-46%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff4…eb8ebacked Yes	19c	536.87$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f3…ad37backed Yes	30c	531.2$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	10c	517.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	15c	516.24$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.24	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4058…8b1cbacked Yes	18c	499.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.84	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aac…7b50backed Yes	4c	468.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68f3…776cbacked Yes	10c	446.08$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.99	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes	21c	433$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.17	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x246d…122ebacked Yes	13c	432.62$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471e…b99abacked Yes	20c	428.7$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.47	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	6c	425.39$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c2…1398backed Yes	9c	424.3$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4de…cb5cbacked Yes	12c	419.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d0b3backed Yes	50c	401.61$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf366…9ad8backed Yes	24c	401.6$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.69	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	22cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02a0…8ca8backed No	53c	399.98$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.59	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	43cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	31c	397.06$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.85	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f4…92febacked Yes	13c	395.15$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+97.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	51c	359.71$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.09	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Yes	11c	357.81$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ce…5839backed Yes	7c	355.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	31c	351.2$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.92	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	18c	351.05$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.25	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6d8…7b80backed No	57c	350$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.5	120	15%18 W · 102 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…9f92backed Yes	36c	345.37$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.78	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6e…95c4backed Yes	8c	334.18$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8498…d219backed Yes	8c	327.13$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.52	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	23c	326.49$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.05	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	25c	321.34$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.45	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…eeccbacked Yes	42c	314.34$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedda…3962backed Yes	10c	303.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5d…c309backed Yes	18c	303.37$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9692…c209backed Yes	25c	300.78$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	+37%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes	10c	300$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	50c	298.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes	4c	288.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf0b…a210backed No	68c	278.98$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.86	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5096…c5b1backed Yes	7c	275.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06bc…2887backed Yes	12c	272.44$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.51	67	14.9%10 W · 57 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x542f…916abacked No	80c	270$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.37	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7c…1350backed Yes	26c	269$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	47c	267.24$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.56	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab7e…2a96backed Yes	9c	257.82$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0479…6422backed Yes	16c	253.59$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.36	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb128…7bb0backed Yes	15c	253.12$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…9917backed Yes	29c	250$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.19	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event