TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Buccaneers vs. Rams: O/U 49.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$984,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$987,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $984,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Over55c392,600$217,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217,571.972065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Over53c280,143$149,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,250.356248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under45c166,316$74,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,305.4124652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under47c151,197$70,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,360.1216955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under47c123,717$57,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,129.4886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c87,949$42,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,919.4853348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c81,011$36,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,870.181,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Over52c80,000$41,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,5801136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c76,065$34,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,691.1575852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Under46c75,374$34,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,701.9617041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Under46c25,000$11,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5007657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under48c20,016$9,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,333.7724053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c17,500$8,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,21083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under48c12,000$5,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2207534.7%26 W · 49 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Under48c9,625$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0056752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Under47c9,400$4,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9822564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7509359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c7,284$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.1673651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over45c5,425$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.2511252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under54c4,202$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.0564747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Over54c4,200$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.25940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e5d…f75dbacked Over51c4,118$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+51.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.9925744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under47c3,760$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.812944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c3,416$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.3221254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over57c3,160$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79011255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under51c2,882$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.354456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c2,767$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.956852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under52c2,687$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29931543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under49c2,346$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.5610462.5%65 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Under46c2,328$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.533652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over54c2,315$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25012249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under47c2,291$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.9483447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c2,121$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.621,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c2,041$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.1431450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Under50c2,003$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.442948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under47c2,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07065048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04026650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under54c1,810$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.3168446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c1,720$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.1447348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Over24c1,676$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c1,633$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.8220661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.8839754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Under10c1,375$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.526857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd905…2394backed Over56c1,359$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+102.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Over53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6366264.5%40 W · 22 L+12.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+141.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Over52c1,120$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.5211740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106540%26 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Under46c994$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.765550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…bd9bbacked Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa088…3d07backed Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Over18c905.44$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.621566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Under48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3311547%54 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Over52c801.38$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4205151%26 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206540%26 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fc…6587backed Over53c797.23$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013652.2%71 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Under50c730$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3653138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Under38c619.23$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.4728151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32427633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76da…bc13backed Over3c540$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c520$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4777052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under17c509.02$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.384235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2658650%43 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93e4…51a1backed Under52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.77475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over54c465$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4511946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x307b…d158backed Under47c421.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.11060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c401.92$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21153253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20831540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over53c389$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6620238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f5…a1d8backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1567057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Under46c249.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1357731.2%24 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c248$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2113959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013752.6%72 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Under49c213$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0510356.3%58 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdd…0cc1backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10459453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1046030%18 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d9…dc26backed Over52c193.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b2…1e54backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a95…f2b9backed Under51c177.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.651060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under78c128.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.444040%16 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Over52c121.37$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.115062%31 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.210453.8%56 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under23c111$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.353458.8%20 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+40.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3822053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…28f4backed Under48c106.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.252623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011054.5%60 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5328447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1820555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under47c95.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6441450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e2…c5c6backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Over52c87.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.851464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over27c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3548847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under46c76.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7711450%57 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.