NFL · resolved market
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b5c4ba841ee95ff13a3b1fec60d7b8a83c36a2473b401619a5440f7810c102d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Rams, Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Buccaneers | 44c | 61,016$26,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,835.06 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Rams | 57c | 50,861$28,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,123.24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Buccaneers | 44c | 25,000$10,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,924.99 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rams | 56c | 23,358$13,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,320.73 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rams | 56c | 21,823$12,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,605.69 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Buccaneers | 43c | 20,355$8,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,836.22 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Buccaneers | 44c | 11,653$5,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,077.28 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rams | 56c | 11,437$6,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Buccaneers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rams | 56c | 9,351$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.47 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6397…cd96backed Buccaneers | 44c | 8,055$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Rams | 57c | 7,100$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…97f2backed Rams | 57c | 6,982$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Buccaneers | 43c | 6,187$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.25 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Buccaneers | 45c | 5,982$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Rams | 56c | 3,048$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.16 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Rams | 56c | 2,800$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Buccaneers | 20c | 2,526$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.12 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Rams | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Buccaneers | 44c | 2,039$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.15 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Rams | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Rams | 57c | 1,964$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.22 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Buccaneers | 46c | 1,837$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.02 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Rams | 57c | 1,721$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rams | 54c | 1,517$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.01 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rams | 77c | 1,376$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.86 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Buccaneers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Buccaneers | 44c | 899.98$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.99 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Rams | 56c | 892.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.98 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rams | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Rams | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Rams | 56c | 850$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Buccaneers | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Buccaneers | 44c | 580.64$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.43 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Buccaneers | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Buccaneers | 43c | 508.93$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.93 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Buccaneers | 45c | 440.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Rams | 56c | 428.7$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rams | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Buccaneers | 16c | 384.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Buccaneers | 46c | 361.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Buccaneers | 30c | 302.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Rams | 56c | 276.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Rams | 55c | 273$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Rams | 53c | 237$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Buccaneers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Rams | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Buccaneers | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…6939backed Buccaneers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f1…d83fbacked Buccaneers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Buccaneers | 47c | 108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Rams | 56c | 97.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Rams | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Rams | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816f…acbcbacked Buccaneers | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Rams | 56c | 82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…6587backed Buccaneers | 46c | 75.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Rams | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Buccaneers | 44c | 71.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0488…aea5backed Buccaneers | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Rams | 54c | 55.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…b26abacked Buccaneers | 47c | 54.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…102cbacked Buccaneers | 45c | 50.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…5f80backed Rams | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…7b68backed Rams | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Rams | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Rams | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…82e5backed Rams | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…0f1bbacked Rams | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Buccaneers | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd87b…946dbacked Buccaneers | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…3702backed Rams | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Buccaneers | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Rams | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…259ebacked Rams | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…dcb5backed Buccaneers | 48c | 23.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…5e9bbacked Rams | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rams (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rams (-3.5)Rams won
- Buccaneers vs. RamsRams won
- Buccaneers vs. Rams: 1H MoneylineRams won
- Buccaneers vs. Rams: O/U 48.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Rams: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Rams (-7.5)Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.