TailMyPicks
Market

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Georgia Tech (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pittsburghof Georgia Tech, Pittsburgh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Georgia Tech51c95,747$48,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,910.8393548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Pittsburgh49c70,048$34,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,724.6132745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pittsburgh49c42,169$20,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,520.9810848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Georgia Tech51c36,633$18,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,748.955851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh49c14,532$7,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,465.1758850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Georgia Tech51c11,803$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,019.532347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pittsburgh48c10,000$4,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,177.529055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Georgia Tech52c8,000$4,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.9938142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Pittsburgh49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55015745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Pittsburgh48c3,249$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.4221348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh49c2,500$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pittsburgh48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.1681847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh47c1,973$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.282,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Georgia Tech52c1,346$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005437%20 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Georgia Tech53c1,282$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Pittsburgh49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6127254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Georgia Tech52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked Pittsburgh48c839.99$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pittsburgh49c596.08$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2465945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pittsburgh48c520.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7938450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Georgia Tech53c431$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4363243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Pittsburgh48c320$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.413253.8%71 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Pittsburgh49c305.82$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.971866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Georgia Tech50c300.12$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.999750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Georgia Tech52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Pittsburgh51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.125750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32da…b112backed Pittsburgh51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Pittsburgh51c290$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.19947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Pittsburgh48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13020950.2%105 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…de6dbacked Georgia Tech51c249.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ff…40b4backed Georgia Tech11c228$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Pittsburgh48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.256844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Pittsburgh49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Pittsburgh48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1048752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia Tech52c176.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6452449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Pittsburgh49c175.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3126846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Pittsburgh79c160$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pittsburgh48c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.757346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pittsburgh48c125.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.841,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Georgia Tech53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Georgia Tech52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502528%7 W · 18 L-6.5wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Pittsburgh49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.635641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf909…2b17backed Pittsburgh49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Georgia Tech21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pittsburgh48c54.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3454243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8163backed Pittsburgh51c52.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.59966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee25…5abdbacked Georgia Tech46c39.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.35520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Pittsburgh49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3811752.1%61 W · 56 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed57…e0a0backed Pittsburgh49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.367847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d7…95d4backed Pittsburgh47c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.452548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d3…ada0backed Georgia Tech52c31.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…0a46backed Pittsburgh49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.755347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.