College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia Tech (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4c9a006240b41c25d1a620c1a5dae0990114e8f173204f04f03a14c34244498
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburghof Georgia Tech, Pittsburgh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Pittsburgh | 59c | 24,092$14,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,952.77 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Georgia Tech | 44c | 15,813$6,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,886.87 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pittsburgh | 57c | 14,766$8,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,349.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia Tech | 41c | 10,299$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.67 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Georgia Tech | 43c | 8,498$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Tech | 42c | 7,324$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.11 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh | 56c | 1,850$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.12 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Georgia Tech | 42c | 1,763$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.53 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Pittsburgh | 58c | 1,148$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.28 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Pittsburgh | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Georgia Tech | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh | 47c | 510$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Pittsburgh | 58c | 325$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Pittsburgh | 59c | 303.4$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Pittsburgh | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Georgia Tech | 43c | 266.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041f…fce8backed Pittsburgh | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Pittsburgh | 59c | 157.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Georgia Tech | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Georgia Tech | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pittsburgh | 58c | 104$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Georgia Tech | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pittsburgh | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…ecb1backed Georgia Tech | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Pittsburgh | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pittsburgh | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia Tech | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Georgia Tech | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed Pittsburgh | 59c | 33.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Georgia Tech | 41c | 28.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Georgia Tech | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…5c9ebacked Pittsburgh | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Georgia Tech | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia Tech (-3.5)this page
- O/U 62.5Over won
- Pittsburgh vs. Georgia TechPittsburgh won
- Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 60.5Over won
- Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 61.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia Tech (-2.5)Pittsburgh won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.