College Football · resolved market
Buffalo vs. Central Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7849d8f545da990d5aecb91d0d44ab7c772772c659a101292a907b7ee68c11b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michiganof Buffalo, Central Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,404,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,474,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,404,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 639 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Buffalo | 45c | 819,194$367,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367,400.07 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Central Michigan | 56c | 559,717$314,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245,343.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Buffalo | 44c | 267,866$116,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,731.18 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Central Michigan | 55c | 191,964$105,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,383.69 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Central Michigan | 55c | 150,000$82,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,500 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Central Michigan | 55c | 123,425$67,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,541.13 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Buffalo | 44c | 117,124$51,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,393.79 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Buffalo | 45c | 91,096$41,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,094.19 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Central Michigan | 57c | 72,027$41,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,885.67 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Central Michigan | 55c | 60,869$33,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,396.85 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Buffalo | 44c | 54,868$24,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,073.31 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…6336backed Central Michigan | 56c | 52,595$29,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,241.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Buffalo | 33c | 50,000$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,400 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Central Michigan | 54c | 46,151$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,151.13 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Central Michigan | 56c | 46,096$25,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,292.22 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Buffalo | 44c | 43,961$19,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,342.81 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Buffalo | 44c | 40,681$18,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,086.6 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Buffalo | 45c | 39,970$17,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,986.65 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d9…a3e9backed Central Michigan | 55c | 37,228$20,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,752.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Buffalo | 38c | 33,514$12,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,775.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Central Michigan | 56c | 32,962$18,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,623.75 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Buffalo | 44c | 24,871$10,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,943.24 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Buffalo | 45c | 23,604$10,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,578 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Buffalo | 44c | 23,424$10,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,306.66 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Central Michigan | 55c | 18,400$10,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,280 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Buffalo | 45c | 16,081$7,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,236.43 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Michigan | 63c | 14,799$9,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,483.43 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Central Michigan | 55c | 13,665$7,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,149.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Buffalo | 44c | 12,500$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Central Michigan | 56c | 11,022$6,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.97 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Central Michigan | 55c | 10,580$5,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Buffalo | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Buffalo | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Central Michigan | 51c | 9,769$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Central Michigan | 55c | 9,300$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Central Michigan | 71c | 8,698$6,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.68 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Buffalo | 45c | 8,465$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.46 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Buffalo | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Central Michigan | 57c | 7,825$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.92 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Buffalo | 45c | 7,707$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488.69 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…622fbacked Buffalo | 47c | 7,447$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f80…9e18backed Central Michigan | 53c | 7,443$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…cb38backed Central Michigan | 57c | 6,329$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Buffalo | 45c | 6,250$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Buffalo | 45c | 6,000$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Central Michigan | 51c | 5,837$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.76 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Buffalo | 44c | 5,781$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.02 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked Central Michigan | 62c | 5,774$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Central Michigan | 55c | 5,590$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Central Michigan | 54c | 5,143$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Buffalo | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Central Michigan | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Buffalo | 35c | 5,000$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.39 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Buffalo | 39c | 4,668$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.07 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Buffalo | 45c | 4,659$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.47 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Buffalo | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.69 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Central Michigan | 53c | 4,237$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Central Michigan | 50c | 4,161$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.9 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Central Michigan | 56c | 4,018$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.85 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…eae6backed Central Michigan | 53c | 4,000$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +582.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48a…3ce6backed Buffalo | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Central Michigan | 58c | 4,000$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.99 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Buffalo | 46c | 4,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Buffalo | 45c | 3,891$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.67 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…0788backed Central Michigan | 55c | 3,604$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Buffalo | 48c | 3,502$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.96 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Buffalo | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Central Michigan | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Buffalo | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…05e4backed Buffalo | 21c | 2,817$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Central Michigan | 57c | 2,757$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.15 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Central Michigan | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Central Michigan | 45c | 2,711$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.52 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Buffalo | 46c | 2,655$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Central Michigan | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Central Michigan | 55c | 2,507$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Central Michigan | 54c | 2,353$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…5cb7backed Central Michigan | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Central Michigan | 53c | 2,298$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Central Michigan | 57c | 2,210$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Buffalo | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Central Michigan | 50c | 2,080$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.42 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Buffalo | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Buffalo | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Central Michigan | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…805abacked Central Michigan | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Buffalo | 2c | 1,969$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Central Michigan | 56c | 1,944$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.75 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Buffalo | 23c | 1,900$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.83 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Buffalo | 46c | 1,896$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.34 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…fbc5backed Central Michigan | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…df60backed Central Michigan | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…3c22backed Buffalo | 48c | 1,850$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Central Michigan | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Central Michigan | 69c | 1,694$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.98 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Buffalo | 47c | 1,631$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.99 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Central Michigan | 55c | 1,526$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.7 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Central Michigan | 56c | 1,518$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.86 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Buffalo | 47c | 1,504$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Buffalo | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buffalo vs. Central Michiganthis page
- Buffalo vs. Central Michigan: O/U 42.5Over won
- Buffalo vs. Central Michigan: O/U 44.5Over won
- O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)Central Michigan won
- Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)Central Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.