College Football · resolved market
O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cea0222736f4862cc5275cc2841b7ff0ab413a957e54c7c8452a35ca6ccf913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Over | 56c | 18,262$10,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,019.86 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 11,557$5,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,126.27 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 5,252$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.18 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 2,688$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.61 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Over | 50c | 1,938$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.8 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 1,501$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.11 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 36c | 924$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 46c | 643.25$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 45c | 589$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.37 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 495.05$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.17 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 51c | 239$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…5a9abacked Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…dedebacked Over | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33e…2e73backed Under | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…8617backed Over | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…fe7bbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Over | 49c | 142.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…5786backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…0f01backed Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…379bbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542f…309dbacked Under | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe9abacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 43.5this page
- Buffalo vs. Central MichiganCentral Michigan won
- Buffalo vs. Central Michigan: O/U 42.5Over won
- Buffalo vs. Central Michigan: O/U 44.5Over won
- Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)Central Michigan won
- Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)Central Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.