Champions League · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf17bd743a6ec314613f79bebe457754ef7c07a4cfaaaf09d967ffb39201a26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,413 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x274c…da86backed Yes | 50c | 1,988$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,908$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.51 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 1,448$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.44 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 50c | 1,349$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.81 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed No | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 49c | 1,054$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.43 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 51c | 905.49$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.4 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 50c | 837.34$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.34 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 50c | 604.86$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.43 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 50c | 502.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.84 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 48c | 338.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 48c | 190$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 40c | 188.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 48c | 152$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 51c | 124.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 49c | 119.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 26c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c05…1ddcbacked Yes | 50c | 100.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…3d43backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Yes | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2186…271bbacked Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…5abdbacked Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…0533backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 52c | 57.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 51c | 55.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 33c | 54.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b4…c865backed Yes | 49c | 40.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…aeecbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 49c | 39.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 60c | 36.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd8…e076backed Yes | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…9af8backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…f8d1backed Yes | 49c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Draw at halftime?No won
- Newcastle United FC leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.