Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67668440cfb9d9c7e67147065a4dd9378ac550b23389059b0a58c78b28a44b2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 22c | 792.2$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 27c | 744.83$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.46 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 27c | 649.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Over | 75c | 524.36$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…0586backed Over | 73c | 228.04$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 75c | 155$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…5bd6backed Over | 74c | 152.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Under | 29c | 143.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 73c | 143.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d1…b169backed Over | 75c | 133.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…92e5backed Over | 76c | 131.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 27c | 115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…97ffbacked Over | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 27c | 100.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…789abacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…40bbbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 26c | 92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed Over | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…6cf2backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…e4f0backed Over | 74c | 54.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…154fbacked Over | 60c | 51.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b2…4951backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd531…470fbacked Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…414abacked Over | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Over | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 28c | 38.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over | 73c | 38.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Under | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Over | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over | 72c | 34.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Over | 73c | 33.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 685 | 53.7%368 W · 317 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…5abdbacked Over | 65c | 32.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…8780backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96e…e7f9backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c3…7551backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Over | 74c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…461cbacked Over | 73c | 20.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…c27ebacked Over | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 WinnerFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 WinnerFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 3 WinnerGround Zero Gaming won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 4 WinnerFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.