TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Grizzlies, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,770,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,926,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,770,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,060 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca5a…7e43backed Grizzlies9c100,326$9,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,510.312941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Grizzlies15c100,001$15,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,050.2138248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Knicks79c100,000$79,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.9920253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Grizzlies21c94,711$19,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,444.7712740.2%51 W · 76 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Grizzlies21c90,655$18,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,637.5812938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Knicks79c49,722$39,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,216.6237557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…e0e1backed Grizzlies24c43,978$10,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,370.54944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Grizzlies20c43,572$8,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,714.4772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Grizzlies21c42,409$8,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,907.769852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Grizzlies20c39,415$7,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,882.9224650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Knicks80c37,513$29,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,540.292650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Grizzlies5c36,448$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.7936148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies1c36,215$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.651,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Grizzlies3c34,581$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.8327917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks79c26,489$20,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,564.732,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Grizzlies20c25,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968b…e907backed Knicks79c25,000$19,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.931855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Grizzlies0c21,321$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Knicks80c20,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Grizzlies0c18,924$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7723833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Grizzlies17c16,786$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.9911558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies1c14,631$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.151,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies1c13,737$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.268783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Grizzlies5c13,490$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.1347144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Knicks79c12,658$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.2334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17db…5f6dbacked Knicks79c12,658$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.232060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d9…a6e1backed Knicks80c12,500$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5005667.9%38 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb99…b717backed Grizzlies22c11,000$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks78c10,897$8,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Grizzlies10c10,877$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.8242640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f3…6cafbacked Grizzlies0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Grizzlies20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies20c9,938$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.622,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies2c9,423$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6946…7dc6backed Knicks79c8,780$6,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.891346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Grizzlies19c8,774$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.2817250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…e586backed Grizzlies20c8,644$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies1c7,536$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9864517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Knicks78c7,307$5,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.5423135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies22c7,100$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5621,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies0c6,805$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.018820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c1…06cebacked Grizzlies21c6,500$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.993125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies5c6,000$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.342,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd99…ea40backed Knicks79c6,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies20c5,800$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.9861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies9c5,570$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.162,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Knicks78c5,439$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.6347751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Knicks77c5,306$4,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.7722542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies3c5,051$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.781,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies22c5,022$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.822,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Knicks80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00016446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596e…986bbacked Knicks79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Knicks79c5,000$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0302352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Knicks79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9814853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057e…5f4cbacked Grizzlies21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies1c4,728$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.077211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64fa…2f1fbacked Grizzlies21c4,698$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Knicks78c4,603$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.6628063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bd…efddbacked Knicks80c4,524$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.391369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Grizzlies20c4,200$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies21c4,158$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.1295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies11c4,027$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Grizzlies21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Grizzlies21c3,678$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.7944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies1c3,500$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Grizzlies20c3,461$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.15942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Knicks79c3,333$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9324554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks78c3,278$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.8478445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a5…841fbacked Grizzlies12c3,250$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.52520%5 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-49.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Knicks80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc3…8fffbacked Grizzlies1c3,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x531c…eb0dbacked Grizzlies4c2,990$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.737843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222c…4ab2backed Knicks79c2,952$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.832544%11 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d09…270ebacked Grizzlies23c2,862$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.742864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Grizzlies21c2,822$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.627261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84e7…5f44backed Knicks80c2,800$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick74cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1411…5afdbacked Grizzlies4c2,628$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbb…ac38backed Grizzlies8c2,625$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7a…ad4cbacked Grizzlies22c2,600$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5721040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Knicks77c2,508$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.5120349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd5…13a0backed Grizzlies22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Knicks80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grizzlies20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcce…099fbacked Grizzlies21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9860%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Knicks80c2,400$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Grizzlies22c2,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2670…1bedbacked Grizzlies21c2,250$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596e…7b82backed Grizzlies20c2,245$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4491656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks75c2,225$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.81,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Grizzlies21c2,222$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.7310235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Grizzlies1c2,144$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.124573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb782…c353backed Grizzlies21c2,143$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Knicks77c2,114$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.19825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Grizzlies21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209344.1%41 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Grizzlies20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Grizzlies20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed Grizzlies21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.992045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Grizzlies27c1,900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51348137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.