NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfb4132bd792a11c5d69891842ea622feaea5e6ce2062ac47c1bb679b3833a59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Grizzlies | 44c | 41,712$18,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,353.24 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Knicks | 56c | 25,749$14,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,329.52 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…e835backed Knicks | 55c | 18,565$10,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,351.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…2973backed Grizzlies | 45c | 10,121$4,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,554.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Knicks | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…c46abacked Grizzlies | 45c | 7,968$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 5,029$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 56c | 4,837$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Knicks | 57c | 2,767$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.26 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Grizzlies | 43c | 2,307$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.39 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Knicks | 57c | 2,200$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,199$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.55 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 43c | 976.02$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.23 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…9f3ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3318…ea60backed Knicks | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…9fbcbacked Knicks | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Knicks | 57c | 876.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.66 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Knicks | 58c | 867.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.77 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…7231backed Knicks | 57c | 842.11$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 588$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7b38backed Knicks | 56c | 533$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…6e26backed Grizzlies | 44c | 533$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…830ebacked Knicks | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Knicks | 56c | 407.89$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Knicks | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Knicks | 57c | 389.34$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Grizzlies | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Knicks | 57c | 281$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Knicks | 57c | 246.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Grizzlies | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Knicks | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Knicks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Knicks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Knicks | 56c | 148$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Knicks | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…cea0backed Knicks | 57c | 115.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Knicks | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Knicks | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…1dd8backed Knicks | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Knicks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Knicks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 45c | 87.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Knicks | 47c | 76.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Knicks | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Knicks | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Knicks | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73fc…c153backed Knicks | 57c | 54.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Knicks | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Knicks | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…6a1dbacked Knicks | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Knicks | 56c | 39.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Knicks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Knicks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Knicks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed Knicks | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Knicks | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Knicks | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…ac7dbacked Knicks | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…88fbbacked Knicks | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Knicks | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaba…ba7cbacked Knicks | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…259ebacked Knicks | 58c | 22.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…75a1backed Knicks | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed Knicks | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Knicks | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…0f01backed Knicks | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Grizzlies vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.