NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ed48758fe916e367a168f5894336a90adcaca2c11ed04aabcd7aa1c08b6bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 3,412$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 53c | 2,111$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.08 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Under | 56c | 710$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 47c | 576.9$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.61 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 444$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 41c | 165.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 51c | 109.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Under | 53c | 98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 47c | 92.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…1466backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Under | 53c | 56.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 53c | 54.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Under | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…f5d8backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…f858backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…8e45backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…13d8backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 28.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…88fbbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…52d8backed Under | 58c | 20.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…74b0backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ef…a7a4backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Grizzlies vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.