NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2745bfd3d2e2d1c91111ff4bd766b7ae698e93981bc2b21d12ba7a53c829aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 16,637$8,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,205.34 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Knicks | 52c | 9,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 51c | 8,344$4,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,102.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Knicks | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 4,032$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.51 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 50c | 3,150$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.76 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,290$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.22 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,073$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.04 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Knicks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,644$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.39 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Knicks | 51c | 1,502$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Knicks | 53c | 1,199$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.47 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…801fbacked Knicks | 54c | 829.92$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 631$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks | 53c | 573$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 52c | 232.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Knicks | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…8dc4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 213$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Grizzlies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…d854backed Knicks | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Grizzlies | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Knicks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d1c7backed Knicks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Knicks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Knicks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…8ac9backed Knicks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 48c | 182.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Knicks | 53c | 155.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Knicks | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 46c | 140.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Knicks | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks | 51c | 135.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 63c | 132.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Grizzlies | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Knicks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18c…4d47backed Grizzlies | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Knicks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…55b0backed Knicks | 53c | 96.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…e803backed Knicks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Knicks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Knicks | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 48c | 70.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Knicks | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Knicks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Knicks | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Knicks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Grizzlies | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Knicks | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 88 | 75%66 W · 22 L | +12.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…24f4backed Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Grizzlies vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.