NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1de27a567a7bf0e1253e47920f0d532d95184258c82fd09e4a78b6472d60cb53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 51c | 78,687$39,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,907.83 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 53,814$26,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,693.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 5,711$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 52c | 2,396$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.24 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 2,088$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.24 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 50c | 2,060$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,788$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.55 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 49c | 1,755$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.05 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 48c | 1,430$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,359$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.05 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 855$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 816.7$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 803$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.47 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Under | 49c | 800$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 49c | 778$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.66 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 518$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.43 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 52c | 444$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 273.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 53c | 269$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.43 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…895dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…d219backed Under | 47c | 201$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…8e99backed Under | 46c | 192$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99c8…753fbacked Over | 53c | 191$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83e6…8e70backed Over | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…50e8backed Under | 47c | 185$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…3975backed Over | 53c | 176$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a6…012bbacked Under | 47c | 174$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5355…6cccbacked Over | 55c | 162.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…8348backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…a4a9backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…17abbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6de…3db6backed Under | 51c | 25.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…a6c6backed Over | 53c | 23.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb757…aaa2backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Grizzlies vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.