NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210e492fca17b370f24a1ec8191a629b4f2cb7531f8cee15a25a1427a01c33b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 52c | 21,258$11,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,104.49 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 16,041$7,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,658.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…19c6backed Under | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 54c | 7,354$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 5,194$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.28 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 48c | 5,125$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 987.33$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 409.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 393$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…895dbacked Over | 50c | 382$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Over | 48c | 372$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 270.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…bc8abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Grizzlies vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.