TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c12,179$5,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,795.7896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…491fbacked No71c7,040$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c6,786$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,027.761,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5006360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c3,939$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.8598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No61c3,621$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.5849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f18…2d79backed Yes19c3,081$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes32c2,171$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.413622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bab…cf38backed No69c2,040$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c1,986$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.482,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c1,602$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.6493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f82cbacked Yes3c1,533$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes32c1,400$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.256442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes40c1,201$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.3531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes17c1,131$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6920431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked Yes32c1,129$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No70c1,116$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.3949137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes20c850$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed No30c740$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+100.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes29c730$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.74245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked Yes42c663.5$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.051376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+73.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes34c623.67$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.143661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No69c598.56$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.558463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes31c528$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.685424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No68c513.94$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes31c472$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3220143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes19c468.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895464.8%35 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c467.47$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No50c443.5$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.751421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid-59.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No43c442.13$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.512050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No69c413.23$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.11782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Yes37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1287830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No25c396.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.998444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes77c387.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes7c357.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c347.79$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes79c316.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No46c300$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.356550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes31c290.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f08…57bcbacked Yes20c290.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Yes14c228$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.592556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No80c215$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4311153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes41c213.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.921741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed No40c206.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.52055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes77c203.96$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0531051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb441…89a1backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No70c191.02$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.311883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.6wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+74.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes31c168.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.262650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No69c161.29$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes24c144.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.012630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes41c138.26$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2334643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked No15c124.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.518744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Yes32c122$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No58c114$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8815041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d8e…841dbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes30c100.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3126747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-67.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes62c98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.477135.2%25 W · 46 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c91…3a65backed Yes72c97.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7037…7cc8backed Yes57c94.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No69c86.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9533144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Yes32c81.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-71%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes19c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.311619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes16c68.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7936852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No38c68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1232843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes30c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe570…e821backed Yes20c65.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a45…f9d9backed Yes31c64.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe631…4dc0backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2081…daffbacked Yes31c62.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes31c61.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0120741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes49c59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.918861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes70c58.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.45642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No50c52.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.414347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes77c52.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.613658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.55176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…c35dbacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a23…932abacked Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes30c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46131.1%19 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd3…80ddbacked No37c46.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No80c46.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes31c45.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8165254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes78c44.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.522860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.486569.2%45 W · 20 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No70c40.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2317529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes60c40.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.