Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Volendam vs. PSV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x524b68b05cb2432a34ae868d48caf2b71259a36d96c6b8a2615b3ea2c06c415c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 2,099$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.08 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 1,760$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.74 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,550$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.99 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 1,017$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 1,006$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 769.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 769.48$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.69 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 765.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 14c | 601.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 34c | 338.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 332.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…9be8backed Yes | 14c | 320.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 17c | 308$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 34c | 233.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 53c | 200.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…5284backed Yes | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 49c | 164$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 77c | 163$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 146.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 66c | 143.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…d800backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 33c | 130.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Yes | 14c | 109.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 101.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 93.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 56c | 83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 34c | 81.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…7e1bbacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Yes | 70c | 71.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 68c | 65.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…6385backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 73c | 62.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 51.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…78febacked Yes | 29c | 36.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…841dbacked Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 67c | 26.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 49c | 26.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Yes | 70c | 15.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Volendam vs. PSV end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
- Will PSV win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.