Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0e34c24150aa7d20405275582d8b8ccf8aab9c8a6e04f0f88cbf5e4ba399fec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 52c | 23,017$11,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,968.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes | 79c | 22,871$18,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 24c | 19,378$4,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.24 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 16,017$5,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 51c | 12,368$6,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,307.46 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 52c | 10,657$5,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,541.64 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 29c | 10,574$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.39 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 10,268$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.63 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 39c | 10,067$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.35 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 9,660$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.49 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 8,518$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.19 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…3cbebacked No | 51c | 6,300$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 52c | 5,609$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.78 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 5,581$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.53 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 47c | 4,699$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7955backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 50c | 2,798$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.05 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 47c | 2,681$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.89 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 68c | 2,124$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.98 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 50c | 2,008$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.88 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 1,867$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.47 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 53c | 1,770$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.59 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.74 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 49c | 1,500$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 75c | 1,334$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.05 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 19c | 1,192$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 48c | 1,147$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.44 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 52c | 1,086$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.8 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 1,075$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.12 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 77c | 1,040$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 67c | 977.99$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.5 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Yes | 51c | 974$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.26 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 924.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…03dfbacked Yes | 74c | 888.8$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 48c | 850$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 47c | 842.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.95 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 50c | 816$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 58c | 795.24$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.46 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 22c | 704.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…02d2backed Yes | 47c | 591$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 62c | 575.93$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.54 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 47c | 561.95$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.36 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 72c | 560.82$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 48c | 557.74$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.45 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 65c | 531.66$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 49c | 515$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.54 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 49c | 479.55$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 434.95$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…d10bbacked Yes | 75c | 392$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 48c | 383$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…79b5backed No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d20…8326backed No | 27c | 375.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 58c | 345.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed No | 27c | 325.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 48c | 249.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…a000backed Yes | 48c | 248.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 61c | 247.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 234.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…1e03backed Yes | 70c | 231.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 74c | 225.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 70c | 222$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 51c | 220.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 70c | 215$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 68c | 210.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091d…b305backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 48c | 207.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 49c | 204.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 48c | 201$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.