Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e0f3a81ca9b9c383134079d169237177f53299802330b8be50ef433ce192376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Nottingham Forest FC, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 130,000$41,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,599.94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 104,488$71,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,413.58 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 67c | 22,123$14,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,280.78 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest FC | 33c | 13,324$4,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,343.32 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.38 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 6,202$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.56 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Nottingham Forest FC | 31c | 5,935$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.07 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 4,300$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 4,048$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.93 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.88 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Nottingham Forest FC | 22c | 1,261$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.34 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 820.31$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 31c | 483.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nottingham Forest FC | 30c | 476$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 414.3$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Nottingham Forest FC | 30c | 332.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 273.76$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Nottingham Forest FC | 23c | 219.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 31c | 203.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 199$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 182.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Nottingham Forest FC | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…b1b1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nottingham Forest FC | 31c | 115.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 113.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 110.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 103$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 101$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Nottingham Forest FC | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…ecf3backed Nottingham Forest FC | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Nottingham Forest FC | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Nottingham Forest FC | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 83.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Nottingham Forest FC | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 72.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…d2d8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…1bebbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 61.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nottingham Forest FC | 28c | 56.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…5f2ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 48.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Nottingham Forest FC | 33c | 38.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 78c | 34.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 32.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1356…d4f3backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50da…df00backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…dc4cbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 25.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…7564backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 22.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…116abacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 22.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…0b12backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 21.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…bdacbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27fe…a4bdbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 17.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…797dbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 69c | 15.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…b385backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 68c | 15.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.