CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs illwill (BO1) - Copenhagen Gaming Week Showdown Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb41599729aa26f1fea812ee13d6748a225d92266c1c1e92e85b1385443aee4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof ENCE, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked ENCE | 57c | 3,612$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.44 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed illwill | 60c | 2,860$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed illwill | 43c | 2,700$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…c8c4backed ENCE | 59c | 2,222$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.42 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ENCE | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed illwill | 39c | 715.93$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 45c | 631.15$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.31 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed ENCE | 59c | 594.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ENCE | 40c | 567$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked illwill | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed ENCE | 39c | 500$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed illwill | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed illwill | 39c | 499.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.85 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked ENCE | 15c | 462$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed illwill | 43c | 444$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed ENCE | 40c | 442.43$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed illwill | 61c | 409$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed illwill | 40c | 388.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed illwill | 43c | 249.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ENCE | 20c | 234.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed illwill | 45c | 220$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…aa06backed ENCE | 40c | 202.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed ENCE | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ce…6ecfbacked ENCE | 18c | 171.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked ENCE | 15c | 165$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed ENCE | 56c | 140.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked ENCE | 40c | 131.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ENCE | 11c | 124.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed ENCE | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed ENCE | 44c | 119.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed illwill | 46c | 109.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed ENCE | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed illwill | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed illwill | 39c | 90.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed ENCE | 40c | 88.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed illwill | 68c | 83.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ENCE | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ENCE | 35c | 77.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked ENCE | 25c | 69.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed ENCE | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…c2c9backed illwill | 71c | 64.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed ENCE | 19c | 56.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed ENCE | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ENCE | 56c | 47.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked ENCE | 53c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed ENCE | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed illwill | 44c | 40.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked ENCE | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ENCE | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed ENCE | 60c | 33.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed illwill | 44c | 25.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed illwill | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996e…900ebacked ENCE | 57c | 20.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…e0c5backed ENCE | 56c | 17.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.