TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virginia Tech Hokiesof Virginia Tech Hokies, Clemson Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x226b…cad6backed Virginia Tech Hokies23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.9922645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clemson Tigers78c3,452$2,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,676.641,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Clemson Tigers39c1,553$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Clemson Tigers77c1,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1552,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Tech Hokies61c1,317$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.732,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Virginia Tech Hokies27c1,053$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.551,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Clemson Tigers77c1,049$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.4589850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Virginia Tech Hokies53c846.84$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.753,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Clemson Tigers38c645$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.764643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies70c630.85$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.981,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers65c501.03$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.055,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clemson Tigers24c489.61$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.412,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Clemson Tigers62c386.06$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Virginia Tech Hokies21c342.65$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6925946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Clemson Tigers39c328.21$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1285552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Clemson Tigers30c321.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.541,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Virginia Tech Hokies66c312.11$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.182,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies67c302.31$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.464,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Virginia Tech Hokies18c276.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.153844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Virginia Tech Hokies19c270$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.79347.3%44 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Virginia Tech Hokies70c267$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.13,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Clemson Tigers16c266$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.21130%0 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies57c261.46$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaced…e23abacked Clemson Tigers13c258.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clemson Tigers25c254.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.884,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Clemson Tigers43c222$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4623149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clemson Tigers33c205.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.761,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Virginia Tech Hokies21c200.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.652,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Clemson Tigers79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1586657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies21c199.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.991,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies69c196.65$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.825,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Virginia Tech Hokies20c174.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5242339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Tech Hokies39c153$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.651,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Clemson Tigers77c137.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.158356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies70c137.34$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clemson Tigers79c134$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.582,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b1…3c7cbacked Clemson Tigers39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Clemson Tigers79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Clemson Tigers41c122.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505158.8%30 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Clemson Tigers59c112.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Clemson Tigers30c100.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.812540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Virginia Tech Hokies20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clemson Tigers28c95.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.441,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Virginia Tech Hokies21c95.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2925230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Virginia Tech Hokies24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3323331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Virginia Tech Hokies23c72.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1118230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Virginia Tech Hokies53c66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.322,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Virginia Tech Hokies58c53.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Virginia Tech Hokies22c51.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.742356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Clemson Tigers37c50.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3712537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked Clemson Tigers20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Clemson Tigers73c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2919138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Virginia Tech Hokies23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.59035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Virginia Tech Hokies72c48.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.731464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virginia Tech Hokies41c42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.781,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed Virginia Tech Hokies52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.695844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Clemson Tigers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers77c38.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0e…a151backed Virginia Tech Hokies64c31.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Virginia Tech Hokies72c31.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd3…276cbacked Clemson Tigers77c29.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Clemson Tigers78c28.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1442751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Clemson Tigers78c26.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3778…8604backed Clemson Tigers78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x512a…0b6ebacked Clemson Tigers80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x943a…8234backed Virginia Tech Hokies66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81090%9 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick74cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9b…7856backed Clemson Tigers79c17.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a6…5638backed Clemson Tigers78c14.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112755.6%15 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.