Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1076288324f1ae32bd4d13261a00b406e9cf506e3275e5ae35bf750c97a14d68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Tech Hokiesof Clemson Tigers, Virginia Tech Hokies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 16,888$8,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,343.93 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Clemson Tigers | 49c | 10,016$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.7 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 6,482$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.93 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Clemson Tigers | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 2,965$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.9 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 52c | 689.62$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.62 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Clemson Tigers | 48c | 522.72$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.68 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Clemson Tigers | 49c | 152$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 147.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 140.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers | 47c | 125.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 54c | 57.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Clemson Tigers | 48c | 50.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Clemson Tigers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 43.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 43.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa027…f2d6backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 18.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-7.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson TigersVirginia Tech Hokies won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 135.5Over won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 137.5Over won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.