South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf987132be0430929a6819e96f0d41c64e128870959f9e5950650fc2e32844de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 0c | 10,960$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 28c | 4,205$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.91 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 72c | 2,252$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 1,079$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 13c | 822.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 15c | 366.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 346.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 22c | 284$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 22c | 282.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Over | 75c | 134.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Under | 14c | 92.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 73c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 84.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae56…8c22backed Over | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Over | 74c | 67.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 22c | 61.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Over | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 24c | 54.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…58b0backed Over | 76c | 47.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 72c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…2136backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Over | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 75c | 22.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…b29ebacked Over | 74c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.