South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aaf23167168d290c7a91f0456ee7721bd7be26eed2b8c54c5de68d64982e2df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 9,690$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941.89 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 8,433$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.61 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Under | 19c | 2,859$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 48c | 2,530$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Over | 49c | 1,827$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 1,715$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 36c | 1,684$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 1,473$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.35 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 1,367$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.06 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Over | 50c | 1,126$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.13 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 52c | 964.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.04 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 794$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 49c | 500$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…8f92backed Over | 78c | 458.86$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 436.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 79c | 317.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 31c | 260.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 50c | 258.3$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 51c | 135$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 50c | 115.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 69c | 114.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 79c | 86.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed Under | 37c | 77.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under | 53c | 54.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…e2ddbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 33c | 46.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 51c | 42.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 77c | 34.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 37c | 34.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Under | 49c | 30.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 22.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…be36backed Over | 51c | 22.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 65c | 20.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 79c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.