South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0150e8fcfc2c4048e10b2365ce008a17cd4776867f16c05800070da5f171c05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 53c | 6,900$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 53c | 6,816$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.71 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 4,497$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.14 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 4,000$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.32 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 3,771$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked Over | 53c | 2,758$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,372$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 1,254$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.11 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 1,199$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.79 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 71c | 957.35$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.63 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 30c | 942.19$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Over | 52c | 828.9$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed Over | 53c | 827.14$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 53c | 686.59$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.9 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 63c | 556.02$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.81 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 53c | 545$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 455.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 63c | 319.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 54c | 296.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 6c | 271.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 59c | 220.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 201.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Under | 52c | 190.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…f701backed Under | 68c | 151.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 66c | 150.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 69c | 142.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 59c | 105.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 50c | 92.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 33c | 89.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 44c | 86.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 43c | 84.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 28c | 72.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 54c | 72.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 48c | 67.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 57c | 61.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 61.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 53c | 40.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 35.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 49c | 24.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 48c | 22.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Under | 75c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.