Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20badd9adbfb9ee2809a4d2317ca16300f89ce1accb118ecb6985d5e5a53156f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 14c | 3,970$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.65 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ab…9953backed Yes | 53c | 1,742$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 6c | 1,130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +541.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 1,102$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 876.51$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.89 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 25c | 843.61$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.12 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 21c | 800$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 784.98$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.29 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 48c | 752.95$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.67 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 696.24$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.64 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 7c | 621$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +590.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 69c | 527$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…e44abacked No | 77c | 518.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 7c | 452.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 42c | 425.83$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.54 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 48c | 421.14$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 72c | 394$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 23c | 298$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.46 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 53c | 276.49$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 24c | 263.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 259.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.07 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Yes | 75c | 226.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 23c | 209.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 70c | 207.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes | 23c | 191.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 23c | 176.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 166.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 23c | 165.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 35c | 160.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4186backed Yes | 69c | 144.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 42c | 139.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 113.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 112.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Yes | 56c | 107.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 17c | 106.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 26c | 93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 77.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 53c | 75.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed No | 64c | 51.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 69c | 50.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 69c | 43.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 48c | 37.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 51c | 37.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 38c | 29.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 56c | 29.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…bdd7backed Yes | 70c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c6…ff7abacked Yes | 71c | 22.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 71c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-02-13?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.