Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Hailey Baptiste vs Shuai Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e4528336e4bf213e1a9357147c98197c7873473008cbd5d4f957972aa2b763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baptisteof Baptiste, Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Zhang | 2c | 9,933$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baptiste | 75c | 3,679$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.65 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Baptiste | 64c | 3,112$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.21 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Baptiste | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Baptiste | 73c | 3,069$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.09 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Baptiste | 60c | 2,715$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.12 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Zhang | 24c | 2,300$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Zhang | 14c | 2,146$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.63 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baptiste | 74c | 1,989$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.05 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Zhang | 39c | 1,819$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.96 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Baptiste | 64c | 1,642$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.95 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Baptiste | 62c | 1,181$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.59 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Zhang | 38c | 1,152$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.75 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Zhang | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Zhang | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zhang | 35c | 958.9$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.79 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zhang | 34c | 915.94$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Baptiste | 70c | 740.07$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 750 | 61.7%463 W · 287 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zhang | 7c | 720.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Zhang | 36c | 712.34$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Baptiste | 63c | 650$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.52 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zhang | 35c | 576.69$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.69 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Zhang | 35c | 538.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Baptiste | 62c | 380.65$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Baptiste | 62c | 380$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Baptiste | 64c | 357.17$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…8f96backed Baptiste | 73c | 315.71$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…a1d7backed Zhang | 40c | 281.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Zhang | 38c | 260.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Zhang | 39c | 256.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Zhang | 39c | 253.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zhang | 26c | 246.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Baptiste | 63c | 240.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Zhang | 38c | 227.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Zhang | 39c | 211$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Zhang | 13c | 208.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Zhang | 16c | 192$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Baptiste | 71c | 186$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Baptiste | 62c | 172$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Zhang | 10c | 165.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Zhang | 18c | 159.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Baptiste | 66c | 159.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zhang | 25c | 150.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Baptiste | 63c | 146.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Zhang | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Zhang | 40c | 124.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Baptiste | 74c | 109.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zhang | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Zhang | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zhang | 38c | 94.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…d66dbacked Baptiste | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Baptiste | 64c | 78.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Zhang | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…7b09backed Zhang | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Zhang | 19c | 72.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Zhang | 18c | 71.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Zhang | 21c | 70.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Baptiste | 75c | 65.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…adbebacked Baptiste | 76c | 64.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Zhang | 39c | 56.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Baptiste | 61c | 40.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Baptiste | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Zhang | 36c | 33.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Baptiste | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Baptiste | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Baptiste | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Baptiste | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zhang | 34c | 29.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Baptiste | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…985dbacked Baptiste | 62c | 27.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…85cebacked Baptiste | 62c | 26.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…3993backed Baptiste | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Zhang | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…8705backed Baptiste | 61c | 23.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8b…575ebacked Baptiste | 75c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…9f2cbacked Baptiste | 62c | 21.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…fb78backed Baptiste | 62c | 21.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Baptiste | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Baptiste | 68c | 16.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 233 | 64.4%150 W · 83 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.