TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rotterdam Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Cameron Norrie

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
O'Connellof O'Connell, Norrie
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked O'Connell70c55,295$38,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,349.7480938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked O'Connell50c31,127$15,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,590.72,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Norrie44c24,569$10,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,873.141,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norrie33c20,438$6,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,710.3965647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed O'Connell54c16,729$9,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,634.998,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Norrie74c13,227$9,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,849.4448851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked O'Connell62c11,463$7,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,366.417,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Norrie32c10,866$3,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.0197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Norrie32c9,737$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,103.241,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed O'Connell57c9,119$5,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,880.5581349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Norrie56c6,681$3,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,743.343,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed O'Connell30c5,551$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,913.32,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Norrie40c5,088$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.14,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Norrie43c4,933$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.956,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e0…375bbacked O'Connell50c3,353$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.92055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Norrie26c2,808$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.6469249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked O'Connell24c2,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.867736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed O'Connell58c2,393$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.9457939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Norrie21c2,375$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed O'Connell36c2,083$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.419134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked O'Connell31c2,031$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.552634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Norrie55c2,000$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Norrie29c2,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9922641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norrie39c1,806$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.571,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Norrie67c1,800$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.9824643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed O'Connell27c1,775$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.412627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked O'Connell35c1,703$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.2655646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Norrie6c1,665$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Norrie69c1,628$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1235853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked O'Connell47c1,600$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.452,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked O'Connell37c1,491$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.7124438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Norrie32c1,190$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.961,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed O'Connell72c1,095$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3152037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked O'Connell26c1,003$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.3263247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Norrie80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Norrie32c967.01$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.298262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Norrie76c911.54$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.7423670.8%167 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Norrie54c900$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48218636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed O'Connell33c864.37$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.121546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed O'Connell66c862.72$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5613338.3%51 W · 82 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Norrie27c738.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Norrie60c719.65$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.662,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Norrie74c651.35$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4829749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Norrie77c649.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.046648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Norrie74c633.43$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7484736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Norrie71c599.35$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5624634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b4…0f65backed Norrie39c597$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.943625%9 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Norrie42c548.05$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.722,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Norrie76c505.57$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9718863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked O'Connell67c497$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.091,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Norrie20c491.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Norrie21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Norrie42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Norrie67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Norrie11c423.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.372433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed O'Connell55c415.89$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.272,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe55…48fabacked Norrie76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick66cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed O'Connell25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839a…e59cbacked Norrie76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick67cpaid-38.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Norrie13c391.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1524544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed O'Connell26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6237339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked O'Connell58c382.28$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0861953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Norrie50c380$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7118551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed O'Connell56c352.71$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7488455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed O'Connell55c345.71$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.056,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Norrie47c337.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5349143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Norrie77c327.79$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4214475%108 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4274…a1e9backed Norrie76c319.37$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.72540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Norrie47c301.66$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2824826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Norrie20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Norrie76c298.28$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.691,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed O'Connell25c280$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed O'Connell24c274.71$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.534,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed O'Connell32c273.09$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.720447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Norrie29c264.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.433,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x087f…075ebacked Norrie76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Norrie76c263.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9239872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked O'Connell39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4113652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Norrie8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Norrie42c238.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Norrie21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Norrie75c234.87$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.161,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed O'Connell24c208.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked Norrie77c207$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3922965.9%151 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked O'Connell60c200.68$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6828247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked O'Connell25c198.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.461050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Norrie51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017260.5%104 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3302…5397backed Norrie77c194.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504158.5%24 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Norrie12c180$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.151520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Norrie42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed O'Connell17c176.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.477236.1%26 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed O'Connell26c171.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.193650%18 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Norrie60c166.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.853961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed O'Connell31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.295253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Norrie27c161.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.133033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Norrie13c159$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.672,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Norrie42c145.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5124446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Norrie75c141.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5728762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Norrie76c134.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.982958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Norrie76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008269.5%57 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.