Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20b4f1ca208c067a94d882f7744fb6bc7395fe0732118d499909ea6b1009545b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 79,316$40,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,591.67 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 49c | 12,943$6,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,342.26 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 11,495$5,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,632.38 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 8,388$4,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 6,401$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 1,862$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.84 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 1,573$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.11 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 1,004$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.72 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 788.1$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.89 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 45c | 778$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 686$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.28 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 52c | 279.96$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 48c | 266$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 49c | 251.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…42d7backed Under | 69c | 50.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 38.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 45c | 35.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 29.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 54c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 47c | 23.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Under | 50c | 21.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas Mean Green won
- Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 135.5Over won
- Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 137.5Over won
- Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-1.5)North Texas Mean Green won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-2.5)North Texas Mean Green won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.