Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x385bf80156b7dc4d70fdb28c40f4b8085f7af6fb97294caed1ad71da91fc9740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 45c | 37,190$16,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,476.27 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 55c | 13,051$7,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,191.69 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 4,839$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 52c | 2,660$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.89 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 53c | 831.74$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.57 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 56c | 294.64$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 56c | 279.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.79 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 276$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 55c | 201.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 46.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 53c | 30.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 56c | 29.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 26.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Under | 56c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 20.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas Mean Green won
- Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 135.5Over won
- Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5Over won
- Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-1.5)North Texas Mean Green won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-2.5)North Texas Mean Green won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.