Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x989b779462d89b716ab1f5f2587e527bc32170b4cc9fc6b73f85558c34de25ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 29c | 1,276$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.72 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 25c | 1,221$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 26c | 860$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 35c | 720.2$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 63c | 715.86$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 676.18$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.66 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 586.45$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.08 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Over | 72c | 534.96$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 70c | 448.33$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.83 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…b29ebacked Under | 31c | 429.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 397.81$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.91 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 62c | 319.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.3 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 74c | 291.89$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 202.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 27c | 188.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 75c | 132.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 114.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 113.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 73c | 105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Under | 31c | 83.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Over | 73c | 62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…2891backed Under | 29c | 60.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 27c | 57.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 70c | 53.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 33c | 45.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 78c | 39.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Over | 74c | 34.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 77c | 19.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…ce1cbacked Over | 73c | 14.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.