Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c64690ee04a5f05feb299bfac5a9ccc8500789b91e8894c1e3c0f97ee466371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wrexham AFCof Ipswich Town FC, Wrexham AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 2,400$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 2,394$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.74 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Ipswich Town FC | 19c | 1,248$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.65 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Ipswich Town FC | 21c | 911.69$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.96 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wrexham AFC | 80c | 266.43$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Wrexham AFC | 80c | 241.39$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 95.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Wrexham AFC | 80c | 81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Wrexham AFC | 80c | 67.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…3057backed Wrexham AFC | 80c | 51.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Wrexham AFC | 80c | 49.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Wrexham AFC | 79c | 44.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Wrexham AFC | 80c | 40.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Wrexham AFC | 78c | 32.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Wrexham AFC | 80c | 31.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Wrexham AFC | 80c | 29.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Wrexham AFC | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)this page
- Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.