South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa38e0ebd0941e94db9e41ce7485c0fc044b201ee164e51e9cbe1d83e8e4f82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800b…152abacked Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 19c | 2,125$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 21c | 1,026$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.77 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 69c | 968.24$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.83 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 761.17$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 527.99$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 521.68$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 500.12$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 79c | 450$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 53c | 410.17$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.17 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 371.31$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 359.83$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 46c | 310.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 67c | 252.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Under | 21c | 248.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 53c | 196.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 29c | 166.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 76c | 136.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 51c | 127$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 80c | 125.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a75…9d4fbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 47c | 107.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Over | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 94.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 20c | 92.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 48c | 89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 13c | 82.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 41c | 40.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 48c | 35.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…5da5backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…fc33backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 50c | 29.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 71c | 23.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 69c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.