South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fff52963c2621f317359219c342dd8bf632209f11e1b04eaba7ebe531a03ec9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 13,345$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,341.46 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 9,091$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.5 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 71c | 6,006$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 70c | 4,716$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.87 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 2,713$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.51 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 29c | 2,624$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.14 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 54c | 2,617$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 48c | 1,045$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 29c | 700$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 63c | 619.61$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 39c | 423.68$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.53 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…165cbacked Under | 60c | 344.59$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 337.37$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 282.74$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 260.79$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 35c | 201.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.16 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 43c | 177.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae56…8c22backed Over | 30c | 162.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 57c | 154.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 65c | 141.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 76c | 132.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 24c | 132.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2a05backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 51c | 97.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 29c | 93.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 59c | 86.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 54c | 81.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…67bfbacked Under | 68c | 73.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 70c | 71.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Over | 29c | 71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…58eabacked Under | 62c | 63.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 29c | 58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 70c | 57.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 30c | 46.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 53c | 42.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 50c | 40.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…a1d7backed Over | 40c | 40.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +223.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 53c | 29.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Under | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 53c | 25.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…9375backed Under | 53c | 19.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Under | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Under | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…e75ebacked Under | 70c | 17.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…04cbbacked Under | 62c | 16.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Under | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.