Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cccf613dfb6a278e682de260e452125729f66551f676ac95a9f3bee9d569d5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Alabama Crimson Tide, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 6,256$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.1 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 5,383$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Ole Miss Rebels | 54c | 2,783$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.15 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 2,526$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.58 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 1,859$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.95 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Ole Miss Rebels | 53c | 1,528$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.72 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Ole Miss Rebels | 55c | 1,107$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.78 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Ole Miss Rebels | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Ole Miss Rebels | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…82a8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 26.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 24.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Ole Miss Rebels | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-7.5)this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss RebelsAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 163.5Over won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 164.5Over won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-6.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.