Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11e8bb5ae334f5aeb6846eb77a8d7c332905122228b656ceab154d797c3f8f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 51c | 28,345$14,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,456.14 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 49c | 9,708$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.85 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 4,341$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 53c | 4,104$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.12 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,009$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 47c | 532$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 49c | 209.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 52c | 193.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 153.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 78.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 49c | 55.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 52c | 33.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 164.5this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss RebelsAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 163.5Over won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-6.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-7.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.