TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Argentina Open: Ignacio Buse vs Sebastian Baez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baezof Buse, Baez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,502 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Baez71c41,624$29,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,051.446552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Baez71c40,350$28,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,701.4127063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Buse29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8003336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Buse29c16,388$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,72576146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Buse30c15,554$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.226545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Buse31c10,502$3,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,255.5576140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Baez71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9843051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Buse25c9,856$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.772,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Buse29c8,983$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.1910541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Buse28c8,278$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.997146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Buse28c6,804$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.4328338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Baez75c5,328$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.861,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Baez73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Buse11c4,737$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Baez72c4,451$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.3836968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Baez71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1606350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Buse10c3,155$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.3465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Buse22c3,091$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.7455646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Buse32c3,014$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.1911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Buse15c2,811$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.61,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Buse2c2,610$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.268446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Buse31c2,448$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.622634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Buse27c2,434$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.2414450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Buse15c2,223$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.1797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Buse28c2,165$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.931,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Buse1c1,926$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.812,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…237dbacked Buse8c1,839$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Buse28c1,768$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.567,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Buse29c1,750$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Buse29c1,700$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.9938955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Buse29c1,632$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.2833241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Buse33c1,532$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Buse29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43557939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Buse15c1,498$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.013,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Baez72c1,490$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.2965558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Buse29c1,400$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Buse23c1,203$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.27,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…8a86backed Buse29c1,145$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.142944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Buse34c1,086$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1468026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Buse10c1,018$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Baez72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2809567.4%64 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5527…32f3backed Baez71c996.46$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.97580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Baez71c993.9$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.911353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Buse32c889.56$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28416665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Buse9c857.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.196,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Buse6c792.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.178,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Baez79c729.32$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.742,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x839a…e59cbacked Baez74c698.94$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.611741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick67cpaid-38.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Baez70c680.31$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.092,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Baez71c680.28$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.281,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Baez72c665.56$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.361,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Baez72c611.11$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1114475%108 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Buse8c585.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4533326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Baez72c559.74$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.142259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Buse34c546.15$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1866732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Baez72c544.44$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4446553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked Buse2c532.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Buse29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14518548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Baez71c495.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3811256.3%63 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Buse26c450.15$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8410739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Buse29c430.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.521338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Baez70c429$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.759165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Buse29c350$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.523454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Baez69c333$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2317867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Buse31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Buse29c321.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1422747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Baez70c285.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.013441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Baez72c270.64$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6428552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Buse29c241$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.891,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b7…0ed5backed Buse8c219.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Baez73c217.75$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Baez71c213.38$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0126247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Buse28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Buse27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Baez69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6217863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Baez71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5847639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Buse5c199.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c77…a901backed Baez71c190$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Baez72c180.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5618863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Baez69c178.23$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.256165.6%40 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Buse29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baez69c161.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.711,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fd…abf9backed Baez70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458762.1%54 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Buse33c146.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6529063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…f11bbacked Baez69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.939663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Baez69c144.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.814346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd12…566cbacked Buse30c144$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Baez72c142.53$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9113750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa674…e54fbacked Baez71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Baez72c138.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9913356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Baez72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Buse29c138.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0853058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x087f…075ebacked Baez74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Buse35c122.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Buse17c115.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.391,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Baez70c115.3$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.214,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Buse27c110.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8960240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Baez72c110$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.858753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Buse14c103$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3916132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Buse32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.