Ukraine · resolved market
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e22523aa9bc530c5525967c637fd66e3d3eb97900419b05456286abfe8b74ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad42…fe63backed Yes | 7c | 5,029$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 18c | 4,383$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.27 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 80c | 3,757$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,650$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 14c | 2,251$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.96 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 1,919$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed No | 79c | 1,820$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 7c | 1,744$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 19cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…bf78backed Yes | 1c | 1,685$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…2483backed Yes | 1c | 1,594$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,560$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 63c | 1,250$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…dd4ebacked No | 79c | 1,140$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 59c | 1,004$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 76c | 999.97$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.29 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Yes | 7c | 637.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 17c | 625.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…cc96backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 66c | 617.7$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 26c | 528.12$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 69c | 520.76$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…9468backed Yes | 23c | 436.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 364.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 11c | 348.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…1bbebacked No | 79c | 341$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed Yes | 10c | 295.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 76c | 289.85$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…64a1backed No | 70c | 286.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 73c | 271.06$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3b…6b17backed Yes | 20c | 270$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 24c | 268.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…ae26backed Yes | 6c | 256.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…6afabacked No | 80c | 255.1$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…fe51backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 10c | 229.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 13c | 220$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 7c | 219.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 38c | 201.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -77%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 20c | 187$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f061backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 167.46$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1afc…bfb7backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 164$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…8823backed Yes | 16c | 157.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked No | 65c | 157.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 25c | 150.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 24c | 148.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…4dbfbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…e9bdbacked Yes | 14c | 145.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Yes | 12c | 138.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 39c | 134.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 9c | 130.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…a510backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 67c | 123.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 17c | 112.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…9e29backed Yes | 18c | 109.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d42…c0f4backed Yes | 40c | 107.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 16c | 100.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…e63cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -93.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…1590backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…5698backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…b190backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…d07ebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8d…6e40backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +301.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d0…c8c9backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…dfa6backed Yes | 25c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1e…a8fdbacked Yes | 34c | 83.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…740fbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…9061backed Yes | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…347fbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed No | 63c | 79.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 94 | 75.5%71 W · 23 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed Yes | 31c | 79.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…b4f4backed No | 79c | 77.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 36c | 75.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 26c | 72.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed Yes | 24c | 70.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31fe…5ee4backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 71c | 69.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…9cd4backed Yes | 29c | 68.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504c…86c3backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea2…308bbacked Yes | 17c | 66.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Yes | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…7bcdbacked Yes | 31c | 63.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…c6b7backed Yes | 35c | 63.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…f137backed Yes | 32c | 60.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…0e07backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 68c | 58.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 29c | 56.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…2e7fbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?this page
- Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will China join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Finland join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will France join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Germany join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Hungary join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will India join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Israel join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will Italy join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Norway join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Russia join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Spain join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Switzerland join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Turkiye join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.