Ukraine · resolved market
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ad450a92e71f41a85d798992b3e82ddf89f0a21cb2b75b853a1377f0c7bbeb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5545…4c6cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,100$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 2,622$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.86 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…a1ebbacked Yes | 30c | 2,448$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 4c | 2,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a27…db16backed Yes | 2c | 1,698$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…1b9dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,648$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 14c | 1,388$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…70b0backed No | 69c | 1,164$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 837.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…61d7backed Yes | 2c | 727.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 719.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 74c | 702.39$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…efbebacked Yes | 6c | 642.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…073dbacked Yes | 8c | 636.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…9b0abacked Yes | 17c | 599.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc997…5184backed Yes | 20c | 575.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 545.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d9…3a2ebacked Yes | 5c | 498.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…d896backed No | 75c | 497.06$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732e…34fabacked Yes | 41c | 492.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 5c | 437.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…84bcbacked Yes | 8c | 340.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 15c | 329.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0d…336abacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 63c | 283.44$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…5931backed Yes | 6c | 263.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 260.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 68c | 260.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…9bccbacked No | 74c | 257.42$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 79c | 255.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +185.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…1efdbacked Yes | 20c | 255.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdb…b89abacked Yes | 7c | 244.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 17c | 244$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 27c | 207.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…e1dcbacked Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 10c | 196.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 69c | 193.54$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb750…211cbacked Yes | 6c | 164.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 157$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 23c | 154.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…76ebbacked No | 77c | 146.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd648…2cfabacked Yes | 15c | 122.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…112cbacked Yes | 16c | 122.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 20c | 120.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 71c | 116.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 18c | 115.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845f…fe58backed Yes | 25c | 104.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…9969backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…dd01backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…e63cbacked Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -93.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…bd45backed Yes | 39c | 99.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb9…c6d2backed No | 78c | 96.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…666cbacked Yes | 20c | 95.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 18c | 82.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 78c | 82.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked Yes | 18c | 80.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…ec80backed Yes | 25c | 78.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Yes | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7834…f823backed No | 73c | 75.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 21c | 65.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecd…2c00backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 19c | 56.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…eb10backed No | 76c | 55.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53a…bdb4backed No | 37c | 54.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e6…e903backed Yes | 19c | 52.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed No | 66c | 50.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…bd03backed Yes | 20c | 50.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…79efbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 49.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc5…c35cbacked Yes | 38c | 47.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…b124backed No | 74c | 40.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…33c6backed No | 74c | 40.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 78c | 37.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…96febacked Yes | 36c | 30.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…4282backed No | 66c | 30.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7c…ff1ebacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b20…d8fcbacked No | 68c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac3…6a0ebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…c4d0backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f3ccbacked No | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed No | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy join the Board of Peace?this page
- Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will China join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Finland join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will France join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Germany join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Hungary join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will India join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Israel join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will Norway join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Russia join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Spain join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Switzerland join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Turkiye join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.