Ukraine · resolved market
Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9e895e8e4be2e28a7b7c5c30b5f2ac6484b637feaf0fba105c46ca97ae1a0aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 10c | 2,087$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80c2…561cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,700$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 7c | 1,451$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,388$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,118$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea46…3f09backed Yes | 2c | 960$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…fe63backed Yes | 2c | 770.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…d4c2backed Yes | 2c | 755$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb750…211cbacked Yes | 3c | 699.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 3c | 675.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 536.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 518.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 5c | 487.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ef…3413backed Yes | 2c | 447$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 10c | 434.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 430.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 414$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…faf2backed Yes | 2c | 410.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…1ccbbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 397.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 5c | 365.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…d006backed Yes | 4c | 303.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 4c | 295.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed No | 62c | 289.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 285.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a2…6200backed No | 70c | 256.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked Yes | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…fe51backed Yes | 44c | 200.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed Yes | 26c | 199.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 193.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 69c | 191.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 6c | 171.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 40c | 119.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…e08dbacked Yes | 45c | 115.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed No | 59c | 114.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 10c | 104.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…db5cbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…e63cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -93.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes | 37c | 96.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…3f8abacked No | 56c | 89.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 16c | 85.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 84.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…2e7fbacked Yes | 42c | 72.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…6e20backed No | 58c | 69.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…3af8backed No | 52c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed No | 56c | 51.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 38c | 40.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…2123backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…54c0backed Yes | 47c | 33.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…daa2backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…dd88backed No | 63c | 31.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 80c | 16.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?this page
- Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will China join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Finland join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will France join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Germany join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Hungary join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will India join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Israel join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will Italy join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Norway join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Russia join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Spain join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Switzerland join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Turkiye join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.