Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82320009ce5ecf1d615614dfbabad6e3ff5486449f32c40a763080d543da7eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 48c | 14,184$6,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,808.23 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 10,538$5,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.18 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 10,090$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.17 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 52c | 5,926$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.71 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 53c | 5,578$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.89 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 55c | 4,111$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 3,064$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.43 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 2,212$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.44 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 52c | 1,619$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.39 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,550$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.45 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.77 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,092$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.37 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 45c | 1,081$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.92 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,075$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.79 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 53c | 955$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.85 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 53c | 850$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.92 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 18c | 671.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 615.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 537.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 526.41$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.11 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 381.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 48c | 356.73$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 277.07$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.76 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 55c | 193.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0126…4047backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 52c | 185.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…6596backed Over | 53c | 145.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 46c | 126.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 43cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 67c | 120.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Over | 80c | 118.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 53c | 106.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…fcaabacked Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Over | 51c | 94.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 90.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 45c | 87.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…5310backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 67c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 66.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 62.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Over | 80c | 59.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 56c | 51.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 47c | 50.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 47c | 50.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…2489backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Over | 52c | 39.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 52c | 38.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Over | 52c | 37.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 50c | 36.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Under | 49c | 36.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 34.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad1…f3a6backed Over | 52c | 33.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…b190backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 74c | 29.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed Under | 53c | 27.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 45c | 25.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Over | 51c | 20.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.