TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes61c24,880$15,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,712.620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No23c22,548$5,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,089.434,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No40c15,510$6,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,136.369748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf397…e1dabacked No0c14,893$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes60c12,286$7,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,928.350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No40c12,000$4,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,84030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes60c11,249$6,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,509.4130634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No41c10,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0503748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c8,856$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,503.22,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes61c8,635$5,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.5190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No40c7,158$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.081,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae6…3cbebacked No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9613046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No40c4,898$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.855152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No39c4,722$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.71723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No41c4,424$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.688334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No10c4,061$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.811,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.832040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No9c3,304$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.433,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No41c3,162$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.853246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No40c2,200$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.7242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7805942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7806640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes61c1,898$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.631833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked No40c1,700$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No40c1,066$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.412845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes60c945$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.312065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21723762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No40c591.5$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.62842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes60c565.29$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.927854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No40c499.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.987953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes59c424$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.848653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes61c422.95$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.953040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes65c410$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.44465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes60c335.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.291833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No39c299.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1184447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7cc…2833backed Yes69c288.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.934946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed No41c288$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.089237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes60c280.69$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2120642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes60c267$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.82951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes60c251.3$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.524946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes60c200.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804854.2%26 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes59c194.92$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9249447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes60c194.15$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes61c190.66$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.619840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No21c190$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1c…7573backed Yes62c180.9$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b16…f3febacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2705…3a60backed Yes60c168.63$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.451040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6584…c018backed Yes60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6714852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x327a…22c3backed Yes60c163.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.33875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.298550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Yes60c160$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes60c154.23$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.826344.4%28 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c7…9d8fbacked Yes60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes69c142.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.641040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No40c131.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.152846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes62c130.91$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7510046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked No40c130$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Yes60c126$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.43548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed No41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked No41c117.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a40…e7f0backed Yes80c108.49$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes59c107.38$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.031,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4015062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c1…0101backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa455…9510backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked No41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-51.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x363b…fb76backed Yes61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.363053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes60c93.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.476946.4%32 W · 37 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No21c85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.695832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…4bfabacked Yes60c83.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.411266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe109…8ec3backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6292…ffe2backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5de…a312backed No41c81.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.08955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes75c80.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.511857.6%68 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c75.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.291,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b83…615fbacked Yes62c74.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes60c71.53$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6132645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No21c68.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0941323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebd…16d5backed Yes60c67.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.675259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x591f…a600backed Yes60c66.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.