La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc872ac33db7d880167c61aed90a3b615bb3bbc72c75374f6a47a909c6295dc4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a58…61f0backed No | 76c | 5,984$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 76c | 3,223$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.52 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 2,231$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.48 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 2,015$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71f…b09bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,374$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,304$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.67 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 610.54$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.74 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 586.1$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 17c | 417.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 75c | 408$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 76c | 343$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 18c | 340$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 26c | 273.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 24c | 124$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 16c | 80.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 77c | 70.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Yes | 20c | 51.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 76c | 24.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club vs. Levante UD end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.