TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99bd…238ebacked No46c64,094$29,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,390.59475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes12c30,843$3,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.2423926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes54c13,079$7,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,073.2312448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes54c11,428$6,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,204.262,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c9,758$7,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.456,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes54c8,091$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400.2616437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No46c5,226$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.9145751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed Yes57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c4,417$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.862,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes45c3,921$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.194,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No46c3,376$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.0412847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes3c2,865$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.222040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes54c2,603$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.071,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No46c2,587$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.964365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8052…cd55backed No44c2,440$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.41040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes39c2,050$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.538537.6%32 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes54c1,864$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes53c1,644$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.741,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x998d…7c1ebacked No47c1,262$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Yes52c1,073$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.034955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes53c1,036$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5507847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5705349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes54c999.11$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.5275850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c959.33$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.042,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Yes54c776.48$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.763243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Yes57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes33c650$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.54946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes53c603.77$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No47c599.94$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9713641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No77c590.68$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8121049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes56c559.5$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.326959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Yes56c538.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No45c496$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.6427454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c461$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.551,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2167055.7%39 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No49c392.16$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…86abbacked Yes53c376.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No46c367.74$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.58837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes54c363.63$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.369949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes39c346.15$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes53c346.07$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes54c326.98$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.881,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes29c312.79$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No45c310.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb39…9d0cbacked No10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270450%2 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+400%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes36c300$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1097635.5%27 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes52c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.995349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes22c272.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes57c259$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2547…8a63backed Yes53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No56c241.17$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.221,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes54c240.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13049544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes8c222$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.023116.1%5 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No79c220.91$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.364468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes56c211$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes80c204.75$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.81,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Yes29c201.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085022%11 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9929343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Yes34c199.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes47c196$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.157227.8%20 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes43c188$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7325052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.59840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8118052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes26c145.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9859445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809541.1%39 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb55…159abacked Yes48c132.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.15922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes52c130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.220144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No50c128$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.556240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes14c118.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8410827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No45c114.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3339948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No62c113.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.27844.9%35 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No65c110.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1542324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes40c109.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes55c109$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8961441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes55c100.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511746.2%54 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5432822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548336.1%30 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5744036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeba…f7d9backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4421747.9%104 W · 113 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Yes52c93.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a5…2862backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes54c90.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.833542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Yes19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.