Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf659c10c337f3b837cdf6ce125ab494f68aed31ff85d122e69c5bcde5c1b803d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 24c | 4,843$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.66 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 4,104$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 2,003$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.96 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 882.73$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.22 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 621.54$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.04 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 11c | 413$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 11c | 376.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 335.71$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 12c | 212.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…5da5backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 78c | 188.71$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 69c | 144.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 32c | 123.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 118.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 85.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 69c | 55.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 37c | 54.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…f020backed Yes | 74c | 31.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 67c | 31.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…8b85backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…52d7backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1df…677fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-10?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-02-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.