TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Yes31c34,356$10,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,560.1585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No70c31,529$22,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,412.7520545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No69c29,136$20,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,032.2219253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No70c7,143$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.862268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c5,259$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.862,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5503452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.986650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c4,894$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.12,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes27c3,847$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0524,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes3c3,154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c2,248$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.361,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.99350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b4…827fbacked Yes32c2,063$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62024146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c1,789$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.581,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes31c1,533$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.2312448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes32c1,522$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4875752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c1,400$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4341,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c1,208$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No69c1,200$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37330149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes32c1,038$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1628242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3209150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes2c978$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.564131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+85.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes32c937.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.987742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014636.3%53 W · 93 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes32c830$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.69042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes31c796.37$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c757.96$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No68c704.58$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.621,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes32c624.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.76838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes2c559.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9382763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15523258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes15c500$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7320840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes31c489$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5913939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes30c454.55$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.371,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509929.3%29 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.789451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d4c…a700backed Yes31c419.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes4c359.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.632822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No70c337.39$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.227833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes8c322.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2745224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes30c308.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.69556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x644e…510fbacked Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No69c300$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.859749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes30c299.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9925544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x914d…af6ebacked No69c264.38$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807653.9%41 W · 35 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes9c229.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6742324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes32c223.72$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.593735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes30c222.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.521,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No69c218$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.582065%13 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid+9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f58…b523backed Yes31c212.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed No69c203.48$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.228056.3%45 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes31c192.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5739948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8781…0d7abacked Yes11c174.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes12c170$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.435134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes10c148.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes32c148.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6223435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed No70c148.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.537651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed No69c129$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.997440.5%30 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes32c124.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.763458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed No70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.291861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked No70c112$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06f…72ddbacked No71c110$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317055.7%39 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes30c99.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9819145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed No69c99.91$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.916144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c75…d40bbacked No70c87.31$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes31c81.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.255920.3%12 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.619834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes32c78.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9912532.8%41 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42b4…8e3fbacked Yes32c74.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes25c74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.292568%17 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes32c71.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.862123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Yes31c71.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.057844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Yes29c68.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…b631backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed No70c50.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.214153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No68c46.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1529259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Yes32c46.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155250%26 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Yes32c45.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610044%44 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe379…6960backed Yes31c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5122…1317backed Yes32c40.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes30c39.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.172133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes32c38.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3610036%36 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked No70c37.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.342259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No70c34.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3515353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3202…b190backed Yes31c32.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.